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논문검색

환율의 주식시장에 대한 비대칭성 분석모형의 예측력 비교

원문정보

Analysis of Asymmetric Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on the Stock Market Based on Forecasting Comparison

정진현, 김현석

피인용수 : 0(자료제공 : 네이버학술정보)

초록

영어

This study investigates asymmetric relationship from exchange rate fluctuation to the stock market. To investigate the extended factor in the existing framework empirical analysis were conducted in terms of following two aspects. Firstly, based on the analytical results of the existing linear approaches such as co-integration test, we extend the model to the asymmetric nonlinear model. Secondly, we analyse the predictive performance on VAR, ECM, asymmetric NARDL models. From the empirical analysis, it is shown that the foreign exchange rates dynamics has non-linearities to the stock market and asymmetric model shows more predictive performance. The above empirical result implies that it is necessary to consider the non-linear and asymmetric dynamics to properly capture the exchange rate effect on the stock market.

목차

Abstract
Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 환율의 주가에 대한 영향
Ⅲ. 실증분석 모형
Ⅳ. 실증분석 결과
Ⅴ. 결론
참고문헌

저자정보

  • 정진현 Jin-Hyeon Jeong. 제주대학교 사회교육과 부교수
  • 김현석 Hyun-Sok Kim. 부산대학교 경제학부 부교수

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

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