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논문검색

한국의 경상수지 안정성 분석

원문정보

The Stability of Current Account in Korea

정진현, 김현석

피인용수 : 0(자료제공 : 네이버학술정보)

초록

영어

The primary concern of this study is to investigate the stability of current account through the relationship between import and export in Korea. In our research we employ causality and cointegration based tests. Through the causality test on time domain, we find bilateral relationship between the variables. And Engle-Granger 2 stage cointegration test shows significant. Additionally, we employ multi-cointegration test to investigate deeper cointegration capturing cumulative current account properties. However, there is no relationships. Thus we employ alternative method to examine the causality, which has been proposed by Breitung and Candelon (2006). The results reveal no casual relationships between the variables. It is concluded that the stability of current account is not shown in Korea. These results imply that it is necessary to specify alternative theoretical and empirical model for export and import accounting for cumulative properties in future researches.

목차

Abstract
 Ⅰ. 서론
 Ⅱ. 이론모형
 Ⅲ. 실증분석 모형
 Ⅳ. 실증분석 결과
 Ⅴ. 결론
 참고문헌

저자정보

  • 정진현 Jinhyeon Jeong. 제주대학교 사회교육과 조교수, 경제학 박사
  • 김현석 Hyunsok Kim. 부산대학교 경제학부 조교수, 경제학 박사

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

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