earticle

영어

Constructing Exclusive Organizational System for Effective Manpower Forecasting: Based on Case Study of Canada, Netherlands, and Germany & its Application to Korea This study was to delve into how to construct exclusive organizational system for effective manpower forecasting by case-studying labor market forecasting systems of Canada, Netherlands, and Germany under the assumption that the system can be more effective when supportive administration system and forecasting/research activities are organized within a collaborative network. In addition, desirable infrastructure of relevant statistical data sources and between-organizations networks was defined as one of the most significant factors to organize the successful manpower forecasting system. The author visited to interview the experts of labor market forecasting organizations of Canada, Netherlands, and Germany as well as collecting data sources from the visiting sites to reflect on this study. The field analysis focused its perspective on organizational features and collaborative infrastructure system. The study applied consistent analysis frame to the three national cases but attempted to emphasize distinguished characteristics revealed at each case. Based on the results of the case study, this study suggested a desirable organizational model in exclusively charge of manpower forecasting of Korea. This study also provided research evidence-based advice to effectively support the exclusive forecasting organization model at the end.

한국어

2006년 발표된 제2차 국가인적자원개발기본계획은 인력수급전망을 저출산고령화시대로 진입한 우리 사회의 지속가능한 경제 번영을 위한 전제조건으로 인식하고 있어, 인력수급전망추진체제의 구축이 국가인적자원개발을 위한 전략적 정책영역으로 강조되고 있다. 이러한 견지에서 이 연구는 국가인적자원개발정책 성공을 위한 핵심 요인인 인력수급전망체제의 구축 방안을 통합적 전담조직체제의 구성차원에서 모색하였다. 아울러, 인력수급전망의 신뢰성 및 활용성 제고를 위하여 전담조직체제가 갖추어야 할 인프라 구축 방안도 모색하였다. 연구목적의 달성을 위하여, 체계적이고 선진적인 인력수급전망체제를 구축하고 있는 캐나다, 독일, 네덜란드를 직접 방문조사하였으며, 도출된 사례분석결과를 토대로, 한국 실정에 적용 가능한 인력수급전망 전담조직체제 모형을 제안하였다.