earticle

영어

With the rapid expansion of renewable energy deployment, power systems are increasingly exposed to issues such as higher output variability. Photovoltaic generation, as the most widely installed variable renewable energy source both domestically and internationally, exhibits significant fluctuations due to weather conditions. These characteristics lead to operational challenges including increased curtailment, higher reserve requirements, and even risks of large-scale outages. This study aimed to improve the accuracy of photovoltaic power generation forecasting by developing a data quality control procedure for meteorological data collected at a PV plant. The quality-controlled data were used as inputs to SVM and XGBoost, resulting in improved forecasting accuracy, with MAPE decreasing from 7–10% to 6.32% and 6.08%, respectively. The results demonstrate that meteorological data quality control significantly enhances PV forecasting performance and can contribute to distributed energy resource operation and curtailment mitigation strategies.