earticle

영어

This study systematically analyzes the evolution of spatial patterns and driving factors of county-level economies in Jilin Province from 2013 to 2022, applying the standard deviation ellipse method and the Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model for panel data analysis. The results provide a scientific basis for understanding spatial economic pattern changes in Jilin Province, offering data-driven insights and theoretical foundations to promote more balanced regional economic development. The findings reveal a distinct "core-periphery" differentiation in Jilin's county economies, with economic activities gradually concentrated in the southeast direction and the degree of spatial agglomeration increased significantly. Spatial patterns of primary, secondary, and tertiary industries show marked divergence: while the primary industry remains clustered in the northern black soil region, secondary and tertiary industries have gradually expanded southward. Analysis of economic imbalance and dynamic indices highlights evolving disparities among counties. Notably, high dynamic indices in primary and tertiary industries reflect inter-county growth disparities, where remote counties experienced negative economic growth contrasted with southeastern counties' economic dominance. The study identifies a transitional phase in Jilin's county economic development: initial resource dependence has gradually shifted toward market-driven mechanisms and industrial restructuring under policy interventions and market forces. Overall, Jilin's county economies demonstrate spatial agglomeration and differentiated development shaped by multiple drivers. Persistent challenges include: (1) conflicts between resource endowment advantages and modern industrial system development, (2) tensions between central cities' polarization effects and county-level synergistic development, and (3) transitional friction between traditional factor-driven growth and innovation-driven strategies. To address these, the study proposes three coordinated strategies: (1) "industrial renewal + emerging sector cultivation", (2) "spatial optimization + equitable resource allocation", (3) "digital transformation + policy innovation", providing actionable references for building a modernized, sustainable economic framework in Jilin Province.