원문정보
초록
영어
African Swine Fever Virus (ASFV) is a severe viral disease spreading rapidly worldwide, including Korea, in both wild boar (Sus scrofa) and domestic pig (Sus domesticus populations. An individual based model (IBM) was developed to simulate movement of individual wild boars concurrently liking with ASFV transmission. Movement of wild boar followed the rules according to the hidden Markov model (HMM) to select optimal habitats with different natural resources (leaf types and water). HMM parameters were obtained based on field data observed in Bukhan Mountain, Seoul, Korea, from June, 2018 to May, 2019. Subsequently ASFV transmission was incorporated into the model when healthy boars contacted infected boars. The model output was presented in the Hoengseong area, Korea. Simulation results indicated that contact rate and carcass removal frequency were important in controlling disease transmission during the course of wild boar movements.