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논문검색

Social capital and stock price crash risk: Evidence from U.S. terrorist attacks

초록

영어

This paper examines whether social capital’s monitoring role intensifies during post-terrorism periods by focusing on firms’ stock price crash risk, which is caused by managers’ bad news hoarding. Using U.S. public firms, county-level social capital index, and terrorist attacks, we find that social capital surrounding corporate headquarters significantly reduces stock price crash risk during post-terrorism periods. The results are robust to propensity score matching and instrument variable regressions, and a battery of sensitivity tests. Our study suggests that stakeholders’ willingness (that is intensified by terrorism) to monitor managers’ opportunistic behavior implements through social capital, also consistent with the literature that social capital particularly matters in certain periods, such as traumatic events. Furthermore, the monitoring role of social capital under terrorism is significant for firms with poor internal monitoring, more institutional investors, less entrenched managers, CEOs preferring bad news hoarding, and accompanied by improvement of analysts’ forecasts, suggesting that the impact of external governance may differ by firms’ governance characteristics. While terrorism brings serious damage and economic costs, our study shows that it gives rise to the increased role of social capital, suggesting a novel perspective that terrorism’s unexpected socio-psychological outcome, being nonfinancial social threats, leads to positive corporate behaviors by stimulating stakeholders’ willingness to monitor firms.

목차

Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature review and hypothesis development
2.1. Role of social capital
2.2. Terrorism and Social capital
2.3. Stock price crash risk
3. Sample selection
3.1. Data collection
3.2. Variables
4. Empirical results
4.1. Effect of social capital under terrorism on stock price crash risk
4.2. Endogeneity concerns: Propensity Score Matching and Two-Stage Least Square
4.3. Governance and stock price crash risk
5. Robustness tests
5.1. Analysts’ forecasting and stock price crash risk
5.2. Alternative explanations
5.3. Effect of the financial crisis
5.4. Alternative measures and additional control variables
6. Conclusions
References

저자정보

  • Hyejin Mun School of Business and Technology Management, College of Business, KAIST
  • Seongjae Mun Department of Economics and Finance, Soonchunhyang University
  • Hyeong Joon Kim Dongguk Business School, Dongguk University

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