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논문검색

Army Future Experts’ Prediction about Near-Future Climate X-event

초록

영어

The future is complex and unpredictable. In particular, it is unlikely to occur, but once it occurs, no one knows how it will affect our society if X-event, which has a tremendous impact, is created. This study was conducted only in the climate field to offset the ripple effect of this X-event, and was conducted through in-depth interviews with experts from the Korea Army Research Center for Future & Innovation and the Army College. As a result, it was possible to explore what factors would trigger X-event from their discourse and what X-event would be newly created by spreading them to other fields. Starting with this study, if we accumulate the discourse of experts in various fields such as population, science and technology, as well as climate, and other fields other than the Army, we can predict X-event and offset the threats that may arise.

목차

Abstract
1. INTRODUCTION
2. X-event's Theoretical Study
3. Analyst Ratings for Climate-Related X-event
4. Conclusion
REFERENCES

저자정보

  • Sang-Keun Cho Research Prof, Future Institute for National Strategic Technology Policy, KAIST, Korea
  • Ji-Min Lee Instrutor., Dept. of Ordnance, Army Consolidated Logistics School, Korea
  • Eui-Chul Shin Instrutor, Dept. of Strategy, Army College, Korea
  • Myung-Sook Hong Reseacher, Korea Army Research Center for Future & Innovation
  • Jun-Chul Song Instrutor, Dept. of Tactics, Army College, Korea
  • Sang-Hyuk Park Associate professor, Dept. of Military, Woosuk Univ, Korea

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