원문정보
A Study on the Trade Effect of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement : Applying a Gravity Model Simulation
한중자무구배경하적무역효응연구 -기우인력모형적모의-
초록
영어
With the rising complexity of the global economic environment and international relations, countries all over the world have been looking for new development ideas. The mode of regional economic development has become an indispensable strategy for the economic development of Korea and China. In this context, The China-South Korea Free Trade Agreement was reached, the provisions of which deal with a wide range of trade issues such as specific countries that are covered by the agreement, quantity, and scope, permitting the largest degree of freedom. Based on the establishment of the China-South Korea FTA, this paper explores the economic effect of the Korea-China FTA on the bilateral trade, based on trade intensity calculation and a gravity model simulation, and formulates scientific and reasonable countermeasures based on research findings. The empirical analysis conducted in this research finds the following: the large amount of trade between the two countries is closely related to the level of the economic development (GDP) of the two countries. Most of all, the distance between the two countries, the per capita GDP of the two countries and whether FTA is established all affect the trade volume. While the distance between the two countries has a negative correlation with the trade volume, the other variables have a positive correlation. From this analysis, we draw several policy suggestions, focusing on how to resolve trade disputes between Korea and China, to further promote comprehensive cooperation, to accelerate the structural adjustment of industries, and to promote bilateral trade. Hopefully, the findings and policy suggestions from this study may contribute to the sustainable development of the Korea-China FTA.
목차
1. 绪论
2. 文献综述和相关理论分析
2.1 文献综述
2.2 韩中双边贸易效应相关理论分析
3. 韩中双边贸易发展现状
3.1 韩中双边贸易规模
3.2 韩中货物贸易结构
4. 韩中自贸区的贸易效应实证
4.1 引力模型设定及数据说明
4.2 模型过程分析及检验
5. 结论及建议
第一, 重点关注双边外交关系及韩中贸易摩擦
第二, 加快产业结构调整以应对竞争
第三, 在自贸区框架下促进全面合作
第四, 促进韩中双边贸易便利化
参考文献
