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When Does Insider Sales Predict a Crash?

원문정보

Eunyoung Cho, Jongoh Kim, Woojin Kim

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초록

영어

This study documents that predictability of insider trading on future stock price crash varies according to the types of insiders and the timing of the sale. Using insider trading data from Korea between 2005 and 2014, we find that largest shareholders tend to sell far before a stock price crash, while other types of insiders, including other large shareholders and executives, are more likely to sell immediately prior to a crash. Such pattern is more pronounced in firms with low CSR scores and low R-squares, but not observed among firms with high CSR scores or high R-squares. We also find that our results are stronger amongst firms with higher litigation risk. These findings suggest that largest shareholders may be well aware of the potential legal or reputational risk associated with insider trading while the remaining insiders may be less concerned.

목차

Abstract
 Ⅰ. Introduction
 Ⅱ. Data and Estimation Specification
  1. Data
  2. Measures of Crash
  3. Estimation Specification
 Ⅲ. Results
  1. Main Results
  2. Robustness Test: Excluding Earnings Announcements
  3. Subsample Analysis: Corporate Social Responsibility and PrivateInformation
  4. Duration Analysis
 Ⅳ. Conclusion
 References

저자정보

  • Eunyoung Cho 조은영. Ph.D. Seoul National University Business School
  • Jongoh Kim 김종오. Professor, Korea National Open University
  • Woojin Kim 김우진. Associate Professor, Seoul National University Business School

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

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