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논문검색

시장변동 상황에서 환율변동 영향 실증비교연구 : 수출산업 및 제조업 특성군

원문정보

An Empirical Comparative Research Of Exchange Rate Impact Under Volatile Market Situation On Export Industry & Manufacturing Conglomerate

김동균, 이창민

피인용수 : 0(자료제공 : 네이버학술정보)

초록

영어

This study conducted profitability and contribution analysis for each variable such as exchange rate and ripple effect of dynamic exchange fluctuations. Subject groups were 6 industry groups which hold large proportion in their industry, showing high simple regression analysis response result value against exchange fluctuations, and 5 business groups for each characteristics such as loan possession in manufacturing industry. Following results were obtained. In case of market fluctuation, company with high debt proportion or low scale of current assets appeared to be more sensitive to exchange rate and also the influence on profitability grew larger gradually as the time passed on. The exchange rate volatility was relatively more influencing issue, and in all companies the shock of exchange rate volatility on each time progress stage appeared to have negative effect on profitability. Dollar exchange rate volatility turned out to have weaker influence compared to Yen in OLS simple regression analysis estimation, yet the impulse response function analysis showed strong influence of dollar indicating that in long-term perspective, management on dollar exchange rate volatility is important in profit improvement. In company performance analysis on each variable of exchange fluctuations, more than 90% of the subject groups appeared to have the influence of individual capability difference in creation of outcome as the most critical influence.

목차

Abstract
 Ⅰ. 서론
  1. 연구동기 및 목적
  2. 선행연구
 Ⅱ. 실증분석 모형 설정 및 자료성격
  1. 분석모형 설정
  2. 자료 및 변수정의
 Ⅲ. 추정 결과
  1. 자료의 안정성 검정
  2. 벡터오차수정모형 분석 및 충격반응함수 결과
  3. 예측오차 분산분해 결과
 Ⅳ. 결론 및 시사점
 참고문헌

저자정보

  • 김동균 Dong-Gyun Kim. ㈜신한은행 지점장, 한양대학교 파이낸스 경영학과 겸임교수
  • 이창민 Chang-Min Lee. 한양대학교 경영학과 교수

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

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