원문정보
초록
영어
With Fujian Province as object of study, panel data from 1981 to 2013 is selected in this paper. Besides, VAR model is established. Co-integration test, Granger causality and impulse response function are used for quantitative analysis on correlation between the three main marine industries and economic growth in Fujian Province. In the paper, the long-term stable relation between the three main marine industries and economic growth is revealed, and the causal relations between the primary marine industry and economic growth, between the secondary marine industry and economic growth and between tertiary marine industry and economic growth are verified. The government should give priority to the secondary marine industry and effective support to the tertiary marine industry when adjusting the industrial structure and optimizing policies.
목차
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
3. Vector Auto Regression Model
4. Empirical Analysis
4.1. Data Processing
4.2. Unit Root Test
4.3. The Optimum Lag Order
4.4. Johansen Co-integration Test
4.5. Granger Causality Test
4.6. Vector Auto Regression
4.7. Impulse-Response Analysis
5. Conclusions
Acknowledgments
References