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논문검색

Forecasting on Ecological Security of Zhalong Wetland Nature Reserve based on Gray Theory

초록

영어

Based on field survey data and statistics of Zhalong wetland natural reserve, gray correlation model was used to comprehensively analyze and forecast ecological security of zhalong. According to “Response -Pressure - State" model, a eco-security assessment system was built which contains 32 indictors such as human activities, regional development index, etc. The results showed that: Zhalong Wetland ecological security index varied from 0.6852-0.7951 from 2015-2022. The index of ecological security alternated "safer" from "early warning". Upward trend of ecological security benefited from implementation of policies from the response subsystem.

목차

Abstract
 1. Introduction
 2. Site and Methods
  2.1. Site Description 
  2.2. Modeling Approach
 3. Result and Discuss
  3.1. Analysis of the Overall Trend of Ecological Security in Zhalong
  3.2. Prediction of Ecological Security in Subsystems of Natural Reserve
  3.3. Predicting Impact Factors of Ecological Security in Natural Reserve
 4. Conclusions
 Acknowledgements
 References

저자정보

  • Yuqi Wang Northeast Forestry University, No.26, Hexing RD., Xiangfang Dist., Harbin, China, Northeast Petroleum University, Fazhan RD., High-tech development zone, Daqing, China
  • Dongke Lv Northeast Petroleum University, Fazhan RD., High-tech development zone, Daqing, China
  • Zhenglin Sun Northeast Forestry University, No.26, Hexing RD., Xiangfang Dist., Harbin, China

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