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논문검색

Dynamic Development Analysis of the Furniture Industry in Heilongjiang Province, China from the Perspective of Wood Processing and Furniture Import and Export

초록

영어

Raw material supply and trade changes are the main factors influencing the development of furniture manufacturing in Heilongjiang Province, China. In view of the dynamic association between indicators, wood processing is considered an essential raw material for furniture production, while import-export volumes indicate the changes in demand for furniture. When the Granger causality tests between indicators are performed, they suggest that wood processing has an obvious influence on furniture manufacturing. Through the Vector Auto-Regression model and the impulse response function, it is found that the interaction between wood processing and furniture making is strong. The relationship between furniture making and furniture import and export produces an expanding driving role or inhibiting effect, due to the uncertainty of import-export supply and demand. Finally, suggestions on promoting stable growth of Heilongjiang furniture making are proposed according to the analysis of the results.

목차

Abstract
 1. Introduction
 2. Data Sources
 3. Development Status
 4. Model Methods
  4.1 The Granger Causality Tests
  4.2 The VAR Model and Impulse Response Function
 5. Model Results 
  5.1 Calculation of Granger Causality
  5.2 The VAR Model
  5.3 Impulse Response Function
 6. Discussions
 7. Suggestions
 References

저자정보

  • Sang Hong-li College of Economics & Management, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin, School of Management, Heilongjiang University of Science and Technology, Harbin
  • Zhang Bin College of Economics & Management, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin
  • Tian Guo-shuang College of Economics & Management, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin

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