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战略忍耐 - 奥巴马政府对朝政策解析 -

원문정보

Strategic Patience - The Analysis on the U.S. policy in dealing with the North Korea -

전략인내 - 오파마정부대조정책해석 -

李家成

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초록

영어

In the context of North Korea facing multiple pressures of regime handover, economic hardship, military containment, diplomatic isolation, international sanctions, North Korea’s political variables increase, and North Korea is not willing to give up its nuclear weapons, it is hard to implement the military strike and diplomatic negotiations are paralyzed, the United States is no strategy to solve the nuclear issue, the Obama administration had to bear and wait in the wings, to take the “strategic patience” in close consultations with the six party talks allies’ policy to North Korea, determined that before North Korea abandons military provocation and nuclear weapons in a sincere attitude, and make substantial concessions, on the one hand, ambivalent engagement, reluctant dialogue, conditional compensation, ignore and drag to change; on the other hand, strongly presses, strengthens alliance, coldly treats, retreat in order to advance, to brake, press to change. This policy is to maintain the status quo strategically, correct the status quo tactically, highlights the Obama government to resolve the North Korea issue lack of confidence, interest is greatly reduced, helpless and weak, want to wait for the dust to settle before action. However, strategic patience will only make the six party talks continue in a lockout, the relations between the two countries are difficult to achieve substantive progress, the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula will continue to interrupt, the North Korean nuclear will be fixed and permanent.

목차

Ⅰ. “战略忍耐”政策的出台背景
 Ⅱ. “战略忍耐”政策的目标
 Ⅲ. “战略忍耐”政策的举措
 Ⅳ. “战略忍耐”政策的效果评估
 中文摘要
 ABSTRACT

저자정보

  • 李家成 이가성. 遙寧大學朝韓硏究中心博士

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