earticle

영어

Due to the normal forecasting methods for subgrade settlement using observation data have different explicabilities, and the predicting results has bigger volatility and lower accuracy. The Combined forecasting model of subgrade settlement based on forecasting availability and real-coded quantum evolutionary algorithm (RQEA) is put forward in this paper. At the first, according to the basic settlement law of subgrade and characteristics of settlement curve, the growth curve with the S-type characteristics are chosen as single forecasting model; Then, to get the weights of each single forecasting model, objective function is build on the basis of standard of forecasting availability maximization, and RQEA is employed to solve the objective function, and to construct the combined forecasting model of subgrade settlement. The result of engineering practice shows that the proposed method has better prediction accuracy and stability, and can meet engineering demand.