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Volatility Information in the Trading Activity of Stocks, Options and Volatility Options

원문정보

초록

영어

We investigate the information content of trading activity in S&P 500 component stocks, S&P 500 index options and VIX options on the future realized volatility of S&P 500 index returns and find that the only consistently useful information on the determination of future realized volatility is provided by trading activity in VIX calls. We also find a discernible increase in the level of predictability when investors are more worried, when the level of information asymmetry in the VIX call market is higher, and when the transaction costs of VIX calls are lower, relative to S&P 500 index options.

목차

ABSTRACT
 1. INTRODUCTION
 2. LITERATURE REVIEW AND HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT
 3. DATA AND METHODOLOGY
 4. PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS
 5. REGRESSION RESULTS
  5.1 Predictive Ability of Trading Activity in Various Markets
  5.2 Determinants of Predictive Ability
 6. ROBUSTNESS TEST AND FURTHER DISCUSSION
 7. CONCLUSIONS
 REFERENCES
 Table

저자정보

  • Yaw-Huei Wang Department of Finance, College of Management, National Taiwan University

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