earticle

영어

Tourism market forecast is an important tool to analyze the tourism market trends, to understand the trends of the needs of tourism market, as well as to forecast tourism demand in the direction of regional tourism development, by which the great significance for tourism product development strategy and market strategy could be carried on. The traditional prediction methods paid much more attention to the accuracy of the forecasts, ignoring the results of the feasibility of forecasting and predicting operability, which had made it difficult to predict the results of scientific testing. This paper created a scientific evaluation system for predictive value, both to ensure the accuracy, stability of the predicted value, and to ensure the feasibility of forecasting and predicting the results of operation based on simple linear regression applied to the forecasts of the tourism market. Therefore, the outcome of the tourism market forecasts in this paper can provide a scientific basis for the government to develop the policy for tourism industry.