원문정보
피인용수 : 0건 (자료제공 : 네이버학술정보)
초록
영어
Optimized GM(1,1) model based on least absolute criteria is proposed in this paper. Since the initial condition of original GM(1,1) model is not very suitable, we use the modified latest data which generating from the accumulative generating operation as the new initial condition. And the least absolute criteria is applied instead of least square criteria to improve the stability and prediction accuracy of GM(1,1) model. Then the particle swarm optimization is adapted to the parameters optimization. At the end, the optimized GM(1,1) model is used to predict the whole social electricity consumption of China and the result shows its prediction accuracy is better than the original model and the GM(1,1) model with latest initial condition.
목차
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Original GM (1,1) Model
3. Optimized GM(1,1) Model
3.1. Optimization of Initial Condition
3.2. PSO-GM(1,1) Model based on Least Absolute Criteria
4. Model Construction and Prediction
5. Conclusion
Acknowledgements
References
1. Introduction
2. Original GM (1,1) Model
3. Optimized GM(1,1) Model
3.1. Optimization of Initial Condition
3.2. PSO-GM(1,1) Model based on Least Absolute Criteria
4. Model Construction and Prediction
5. Conclusion
Acknowledgements
References
키워드
- Prediction; GM(11) model
- Least absolute criteria
- PSO
- Initial condition
저자정보
참고문헌
자료제공 : 네이버학술정보