earticle

영어

The estimation of PMP (Probable Maximum Precipitation) and the analysis of characteristics of PMF (Probable Maximum Flood) according to the types of time distribution of rainfall and variations of base flow for the determination of design flood of major hydraulic structures in the watershed area of Wi stream were analysed. The PMP was estimated by the hydro-meteorological method suggested by the guideline of the World Meteorological Organization(WMO). The Blocking method was cited to transpose from PMP to PMS (Probable Maximum Storm) with time distribution. The unit hydrograph, applied for the estimation of PMF was derived by Clark's method. The summaryzed results : (1) The 72 hrs duration PMP in the area is 477.3mm which is 80mm less than the PMP map in Korea and 134 mm lager than the maximum precipitation of 342.9mm in Taegu, near the Wi stream watershed. (2) According to the types of time distribution and variations of base flow, the ranges of PMF for advanced type, central type and delayed type are 3,145.3~3,348.3cms, 3,774.6~3,977.7cms and 3,814.6~4,017.3cms, respectively. Those mean that peak discharge of advanced type is 600cms less than the central type and delayed type. (3) Delayed type among three types by Blocking method has been estimated the largest PMF of 4,017.3cms, and the advanced type has been estimated the smallest PMF of 3,145.3cms. The mean value of the peak PMF of 3,653.6cms may probably be resonable PMF in the Wi stream watershed. The mean PMF could probably be 1.7 times lager than the result of Gajiyama's equation. It is equivalent to the flood of return period 1,000 to 10,000 yrs.

한국어

낙동강 지류중 하나인 위천유역 및 동성유역권의 수공구조물 설계시 설계홍수량 결정을 위한 기본자료를 제공하고자 시간분포의 유형과 기저유량의 변화에 따른 가능최대홍수량의 양상을 분석하였다. 먼저 수문기상학적인 방법으로 PMP를 추정하고, Blocking방법의 central, advanced 그리고 delayed type를 각각 이용하여 시간 분포시킨 호우를 Clark방법을 이용하여 PMF를 산정한 결과 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 1. PMP시간분포형에 따라서 첨두 PMF는 기저유량에 따라 advanced일 때 3145.3~3348.3cms, central일 때 3774.6~3977.7cms, delayed일 때 3814.6~4017.3cms로 나타났다. 여기서 강우의 시간분포가 advanced type이고 기저유량이 Minimum일 때 central과 delayed에 비하여 첨두PMF가 670cms정도 작게 나타남을 알수 있었다. 따라서 최대 첨두PMF와 최소 첨두PMF는 각각 delayed와 advanced일 때의 4017.3cms와 3145.3cms이며, 결과에 의한 평균 PMF는 3653.6cms로서 이 결과가 위천유역의 설계홍수량으로 타당하다고 사료된다. 2. 평균PMF와 가지야마에 의한 결과치와는 가지야마 값보다 1.7배 큰값으로 나타났고 이는 1,000년에서 10,000년 빈도사이의 홍수량으로 추정된다.