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논문검색

2008년 금융위기 이후 서울 오피스 시장의 변화

원문정보

Change in Seoul Office Market After 2008 Financial Crisis

양영준, 임병준

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초록

영어

In this study, I have tried to find out how the Korean office market have changed since the 2008 financial crisis and what has been the determining factors in deciding the price of offices. The analysis of impulse response analysis showed that the vacancy rate had been the positive effect on the price of office prior to the financial crisis but it has been the negative effect on the price of office after the financial crisis. The rent has positively affected the price of offices both after and before the financial crisis. But the analysis showed that its effect has been reduced after the financial crisis. According to the variance decomposition analysis, the change in the price of office came from the vacancy rate and the rent prior to the financial crisis. However, that has been less affected by them than its own price determining structure after the financial crisis. In addition, the impulse response analysis showed the followings; the economic growth rate has positively affected the price of office but its effect has been reduced after the financial crisis. The interest rate negatively affected the price of office before the financial crisis but its effect has positively affected the price of office after the financial crisis if it was a little bit. The variance decomposition analysis showed that the change in price of offices between periods before and after the financial crisis is affected by the price of office itself.

목차

Abstract
 1. 서론
 2. 이론적 고찰
  2.1. 서울의 오피스 공급 추이
  2.2. 선행연구
  2.3. 이론연구
 3. 실증분석
  3.1. 대상변수의 선정
  3.2. 단위근 검정
  3.3. 공적분 검정
 4. VEC 모형을 통한 실증분석
 5. 결론 및 시사점
 주
 참고문헌

저자정보

  • 양영준 Yang, Young-Jun. 교보생명보험(주) 차장, 한성대학교 경제·부동산학과 부동산학박사
  • 임병준 Rhim, Byeong-Jun. 한성대학교 부동산학과 부교수

참고문헌

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