earticle

영어

This study aims at projecting the tourist demand and suggesting several counteraction methods of Jeju-do through the construction of industrial foundation and tourism industry. The methods of study include both qualitative analysis of regions and statistical prediction analysis by time series from the past. The projection is based on the projection by linear model rather than some specific model, and assumes that the population of Jeju-do and the number of tourists will follow a growing trend of logistic curve. This study refers to the population distribution, GRDP, and the tourist demand in Jeju-do, and then analyses several counteraction methods in its regions. The results of this study are as follows. The first is that the population of Jeju-do is projected to gradually reach 0.70～0.72 millions and its tourist demand will increase from 9.69 in 2012 to 19.80 in 2020, to 25.80 millions in 2030. The second is that the airport facilities need to be enlarged because of the tourist's increase of future and that Jeju's naval base & tourism harbor is needed to satisfy the rising demand of local resident and tourists in Seogwipo-city. The third is that Jeju-do needs the characteristics of both the tourist & family hotel and the lodging facilities, and Seogwipo needs to build the tourism & recreation complex housing. The fourth is that tourist spots have to be established by considering the fostering of tourism industry, the development of the Myth and History Theme Park, and the fostering of Olle in seaside.