earticle

영어

Mongolian economy has been rapidly growing since 2003 at a rate of 10.6 % annually, and despite the global economic crisis, IMF foresees that Mongol will continue to grow up to 13% annually by 2015. It has been 80 years since Mongolian Airline(MIAT) was established and it’s been showing a significant growth rate along with the fast economic development. The purpose of this research is to analyze the infrastructure of Mongolian Air transportation industry and forecast the change of market structure in the future. I surveyed the infrastructure, such as airport, airlines and air route, and tried to find any change in the market in the near future. There would be much change as expected, especially in the Korea-Mongolian route. The forecast of air travel demand for the international routes between ULN–ICN was drawn by using historical data. Based on the result of this survey, it would be able to make a prediction about increasing supplies expanding a route, offering a competitive price, or improving the quality of service and carrying out a comprehensive marketing, or whether it is necessary to make an additional purchase on aircraft. Forecasting demands, which is basically done by quantifying a demand occurring at a point or during a particular period in the future, includes both short and long term demand forecasting. And this, which is carried out on various purposes, could be useful to make a business plan in Korea- Mongolian air transportl market.