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New Alliance Dynamics in Northeast Asia: Abandonment, Entrapment, Deterrence, and Autonomy

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영어

In international politics we have ‘'double’' security dilemmas: inseparably intertwined adversary and alliance security dilemmas. In abandonment and entrapment fears, which constitute the alliance security dilemma, balancing logic and public goods (or free-riding) logic are embedded respectively. In this paper, I will first reconstruct Stephen Walt’s balance-of-threat theory and Glenn Snyder’s concept of the alliance security dilemma into a new single theory—Net Threat Theory—that provides a new balancing logic for overcoming the contradiction between the conventional balancing logic and public goods logic. Then, based on the logic of Net Threat Theory, I will outline the alliance dynamics in Northeast Asia in the post-Cold War era, addressing the issue of the Korea-Japan-U.S. alignment and the regional stability, and finally, deriving policy implications as well.

목차

Abstract
 Introduction
 Double Security Dilemmas and Discrete Realisms
 What Is Net Threat Theory?
 Discovering the Logic of Net Threat Theory
  Balance-of-Threat Theory, Contradiction of Balancing/Free-Riding, and a New Balancing Logic
  Revealing Hidden Logics of the Alliance Security Dilemma
 Explanatory Mechanisms of Net Threat Theory: Beyond Abandonment/Entrapment Fears
  Fears of Deterrence Failure—Functional Equivalent to ABT Fears
  Fears of Losing Autonomy—Functional Equivalent to ENT Fears
 Alignment Dynamics in Northeast Asia in the Post-Cold War Era
  Remaining Cold War Structure: Two Against Two
  Rise of China
 Korea-Japan-U.S. Alignment and Regional Stability
  Two Alternative Approaches to the Analysis of Korea-Japan Relations
  The U.S. Role in the Process of the 1965 Korea-Japan Diplomatic Normalization
  Contradictory U.S. Roles in Facilitating Korea-Japan Cooperation
  Drawing a Bigger Picture Where Peace Breaks Out in East Asia
 Conclusion: What should be the U.S. Policy Goal towards East Asia?

저자정보

  • YOON Tae-Ryong Jeju Peace Institute

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