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한국 관광서비스산업의 솔로우잔차항과 실질임금의 경기순환성에 실증분석: 1975-2010

원문정보

The Cyclicality of Solow’s Residuals and Real Wages in the Korean Tourism Service Industries: An Empirical Analysis (1975-2010)

정석중, 박세훈

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초록

영어

This paper establishes the empirical model based on Hall’s(1990) and Basu’s(1996) models, estimates Solow’s residual in the two tourism service industries which are retail·foods·lodging and transportation·communication over the period 1975:1-2010:4, and analyzes the cyclicality of measured Solow’s residual. The empirical results are summarized as the followings. First, the annual growth rates of Solow’s residual were estimated to be, in average, 2.84% in retail·foods·lodging and ╶1.99% in transportation· communication. Second, the correlation coefficients with the HP-filtered GDP showed the Solow’s residual in the two tourism service industries to be countercyclical. Third, the annual rates of growth in real wage are measured to be, in average, 5.12% in retail·foods· lodging and 4.98% in transport·communication. And the correlation coefficients between Solow’s residual and real wage proved to be –0.5638 in retail·lodging and ╶0.6465 in transportation ·commu–nication. The comparison of productivity growth rate with real wage rate lesds us to the conclusion taht real wages have been increased overly in the tourism service industries.

목차

ABSTRACT
 Ⅰ. 서론
 Ⅱ. 이론적 배경
 Ⅲ. 실증분석 모형
  1. Solow 잔차항 측정모형
  2. 분석자료
 Ⅳ. 분석결과
  1. 솔로우 잔차항의 측정결과
  2. 솔로우잔차항의 특성
  3. 솔로우잔차항과 실질임금의 변화
 Ⅴ. 결론
 부록표
 참고문헌

저자정보

  • 정석중 Suk Jung Cheong. 관동대학교 관광경영학과 교수
  • 박세훈 Sehoon Park. 관동대학교 경제금융학과 부교수

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

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