원문정보
초록
영어
ASEAN member nations have to develop measures to overcome economic crises as its influence is likely to spread over other nations when a critical situation occurs in one of them. Therefore, this study aims to predict exports of each ASEAN member nation. The study analysed data collected from 1997 to 2010, and using a model redicting export based on the data collected, export of each nation was predicted for five years from 2011 to 2015. As a result, predicted export of the Malaysia was 5,698 million dollars and the estimate was consistent for five years. Those of other countries were different, but their export kept increasing steadily. As export can be predicted, the results will be basic data for future policy and management plans.
목차
Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. ASEAN국가에 대한 수출 및 기존연구
1. ASEAN국가에 대한 수출의 개관
2. 선행연구에 대한 고찰
Ⅲ. ASEAN국가에 대한 수출 예측
1. 자료의 분석
2. 모형의 설정
3. 모수의 추정
4. 모형의 진단
5. 수출 예측
Ⅳ. 결론
참고문헌