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주택분양시장 추이를 통해서 본 분양가상한제의 의의와 한계 : 공분산분석을 이용하여

원문정보

The Significance and Limitations of Price Control on New Apartments by Applying ANCOVA

김성욱, 김지현

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초록

영어

Korean government removed unnecessary regulations such as the price control on new apartments in order to prevent distorting real estate market as well as worsening corporate earnings in 1999. However, the price control on new apartments has been re-introduced since 2007 due to the on-going concerns on asset reflation risk. On the other hands, a number of scholars and constructions experts have insisted that price ceiling should lead to a decrease in supply of new apartment as price is set by the government, based on building cost, rather than supply and demand. Few empirical studies have been made to support these controversies. This study aims at analyzing the impact of price control on new apartment market by applying ANCOVA(analysis of covariance). The results show that there were similarities of apartment supplies during the period 2004-2009 excluding the supplies in 2007, indicating no impact of price control on new property market. Therefore, unsold apartment problem does not seemed to be related to the price regulation but rather it does to oversupply of new apartments, especially in the non-metropolitan area.

목차

Abstract
 1. 서론
 2. 분양가상한제
  2.1. 분양가상한제의 이론적 배경
  2.2. 현 분양가상한제의 골격
  2.3. 분양가상한제가 시장에 미치는 영향에 대한 선행연구
  2.4. 분양가상한제와 미분양문제에 대한 건설업계와 시민단체의 주장
 3. 분양가상한제와 주택분양시장의 관계
 4. 실증분석
  4.1. 공분산분석의 원리
  4.2. 변수 및 모형의 설정
  4.3. 분석결과
 5. 논의와 결론
 참고문헌

저자정보

  • 김성욱 Kim, Sung-Wook. 서강대학교 공공정책대학원 대우교수
  • 김지현 Kim, Ji-Hyun. 서울디지털대학교 부동산학부 조교수

참고문헌

자료제공 : 네이버학술정보

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