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논문검색

새로운 “代案模型”의 開發은 왜 필요한가? - 投入·産出模型의 有用性과 그 限界를 중심으로 -

원문정보

Why Do We Need the Development of a New “Alternative Model”? - Based on the Usefulness of the Input-Output Model and Its Limits -

새로운 “대안모型”의 개발은 왜 필요한가? - 투입·산출모형의 유용성과 그 한계를 중심으로 -

김호언

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초록

영어

The Input-Output(IO) model and tables has been usefully used in many different areas of Economics since the model was first pioneered by W. W. Leontief in 1936. Recently Gim and Kim(2005, 2008) found out that there is no consecutive connection between the Leontief inverse and the total output and that there are some limits to compute the impact effects for the initial change of output. The specific objectives of this paper are summarized as follows. ① We clarify the usefulness and limits which is embodied in the open static input-output model as an empirical study. ② We reexamine why the development of a new"alternative model"for the traditional Input-Output model is needed. ③ We propose the two alternative models named the Output-Output(OO) model and the Final demand-Final output(FF) model based on the merits and demerits of the model. We finally developed an Output-Output model on the basis of the concept of output requirements matrix for output , in comparison to the IO model. The newly developed OO model can be readily applied, for example, to the impact analysis for output advantageously and effectively without worrying about the consecutive connection and overestimation problems occurred in the net multiplier concept developed by Oosterhaven(2002).

목차

Abstract :
 1. 序論
  1.1 연구의 배경
  1.2 연구의 目的과 範圍
 2. 선행 연구와 새로운 “代案模型’
  2.1 일반적 관계와 보완된 일반적 관계
  2.2 레온티에프 逆行列의 要因別 分解
 3. 투입 • 산출모형의 有用性과 그 限界
  3.1 투입 • 산출모형의 有用性
  3.2 산업연관모형의 限界와 "連續的 連結"
  3.3 産業關聯模型의 限界와 過大推定
 4. 새로운 “代案模型의 開發”
  4.1 새로운 生産誘發體系
  4.2 새로운 代案模型의 성격
  4.3 새로운 代案模型과 경제분석
 5. 結論
 참고문헌

저자정보

  • 김호언 Gim, Ho-Un. 계명대학교 경제학과 교수

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