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논문검색

수도권 도시지역 자연재해 유발요인에 관한 실증연구

원문정보

A Empirical Research on the Factors Causing Natural Disasters in Metropolitan Urban Area

최충익

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초록

영어


This study aims to demonstrate how the urbanization accompanied by high population density and urban land use has affected natural disaster vulnerability in metropolitan area using Kyonggi Province panel data. The results are that the spread of urban land use area has increased natural disaster damages in Kyonggi area, but urban population density have not. For the past 32 years, urban development in metropolitan area have impaired forest area. Also, Levee is proved not to be a effective tool to lessen urban flood damages. The respective natural disaster damages functions show that natural disaster pattern differs with each regions. Therefore, it imply that natural disaster planning need to be set up regionally. It is necessary that the future urban development should minimize reckless deforestation and maximize open space by a compact development and smart growth. In conclusion, constructing embankments can no longer represent a reliable structural flood control policy. This research has shown that urban land use and local characteristics act as significant flood determinants, with forests acting to reduce flood dangers. Changes in future flood policies need to incorporate local characteristics and to minimize natural destruction, so that humans and nature can coexist through environmentally friendly flood management policies.

목차

Abstract:
 1. 서론
  1.1 연구의 배경 및 목적
  1.2 연구의 범위
  1.3 연구의 방법
 2. 이론연구 및 기존연구 검토
  2.1 자연재해와 수해
  2.2 도시화와 자연재해 취약성
 3. 가설설정 및 분석모형
  3.1 가설의 설정
  3.2 분석모형
  3.3 변수선택 및 자료구축
  3.4 경기도 내 시군의 통합
 4. 경기도의 자연재해특성에 관한 실증분석
  4.1 경기도 개벌시군의 재해피해통계
  4.2 기술통계분석 (descriptive statistical analysis)
  4.3 경기도 21개 지역별 재해피해함수의 도출
  4.4 경기도 21개 지역별 자연재해피해함수 도출의 시사점
  4.5 Pooled WLS에 의한 경기도 자연재해피해함수 도출
 5. 결론
 참고문헌

저자정보

  • 최충익 Choi, Choong-Ik. 한국건설기술연구원 수자원연구부

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