earticle

영어

The purpose of this study was to the prediction of the visitors of the regional golf course. Especially the visitor' prediction of the regional golf course has meaning the financial policy making, allots a buget of golf course. It is important a task because it will be able to apply with baseline data. So this study predicts the visitors' prediction of the regional golf course until 2011. Specially, ARIMA models of time series analysis is better short-term prediction in the demand forecast technique. To examine visitors’ prediction, it used the data what provides from the data of a morgue of korea golf course business association home page. Namely, the first time series analysis started to select an ARIMA model by a basic process of model set. And the result which predicts visitors of the regional golf course by the estimation process of a parameter, forecast index for 1 year has shown the decreasing pattern. or It must be noted that the rate of change in golf course of Gyeonggi‘s Province were presented significant difference. Like this result, the problem (a selection of independence variable or of trend analysis of some data) which is presented from statistical technique of demand forecast in past will be able to overcome. Therefore scientific prediction model make an accurate estimate visitors by high reliability. The official organizations are always interested in the visitors’ inflow.