원문정보
초록
영어
One of the important factors of technology development strategies is the expected economic value of a technology. As the focus of national defense policy have been turned from domestic consumption to international consumption, a more accurate technology valuation model is required for defense industries. This research presents a new model for evaluating economic value of technologies by the modified process which adopted a Markov Chain and a Risk-averse Utility Function. The major accomplishment of this research is the designing of the process which estimates the technology market lifespan based on the probability data. It also enables us to consider the expected events. Moreover, a new technology valuation model is designed to reflect the characteristics of defense industries at the specific technique level.
목차
1. 서론
2. 선행연구의 검토
2.1 이익접근모형
2.2 수명예측모형
2.3 국방적용모형
2.4 확률과정모형
3. 연구모형의 설계
3.1 연구의 개념설계
3.2 모형의 구조설계
4. 적용모형의 검토
4.1 기술의 시장수명 예측
4.2 기술의 현금흐름 추정
4.3 기술의 기여가치 결정
5. 결론
참고문헌