초록 열기/닫기 버튼
This study analyzes the impact of greenhouse gas reduction of changes in consumer preference for meat substitutes using a partial equilibrium model. The findings reveal several key implications. Firstly, as the preference for meat substitutes increases and more consumers adopt them, there is a noticeable impact on the supply and demand dynamics of the Korean beef and pork markets, particularly affecting the pork market. Secondly, addressing the ripple effects caused by a decrease in domestic beef and pork production due to increased consumption of meat substitutes requires efforts to enhance livestock industry productivity and reduce emission intensity. Thirdly, while greenhouse gas emissions decrease compared to the baseline as consumption declines, it proves challenging to achieve the reduction goals of the 2030 ‘Net Zero’ scenario. Simply increasing consumption of meat substitutes is insufficient; comprehensive changes throughout the food system, including production, distribution, consumption, and dietary habits are necessary. Lastly, the analysis demonstrates a decline in meat consumption due to the growing popularity of meat substitutes, emphasizing the need for active government policies to foster the industry and address the resulting impact on farmers.
