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Do protests encourage electoral participation of voters? There are scholarly discussions on the relationship between protesting and voting, as they are typical examples of non-institutional and institutional forms of political participation in democracy, respectively. Theoretical exploration and empirical research on this subject matter have yet to be developed because the studies of social movements and electoral politics are two different sub-fields separately developed in comparative politics while rarely communicating with each other. Conforming to a recent call for bridging these two sub-fields, this article attempts to specify the mechanism by which protests affect voter turnout. We particularly emphasize political interest and efficacy of ordinary citizens, since they can be influenced by large scale protest events and, in turn, influence the turnout of voters. This theoretical speculation is empirical Do protests encourage electoral participation of voters? There are scholarly discussions on the relationship between protesting and voting, as they are typical examples of non-institutional and institutional forms of political participation in democracy, respectively. Theoretical exploration and empirical research on this subject matter have yet to be developed because the studies of social movements and electoral politics are two different sub-fields separately developed in comparative politics while rarely communicating with each other. Conforming to a recent call for bridging these two sub-fields, this article attempts to specify the mechanism by which protests affect voter turnout. We particularly emphasize political interest and efficacy of ordinary citizens, since they can be influenced by large scale protest events and, in turn, influence the turnout of voters. This theoretical speculation is empirically explored by using the Dynamics of Collective Action (DCA) protest event data and the American National Election Studies (ANES) survey data. The empirical results show that large and salient protest events increase voters’ political interest and then the likelihood of turnout for voting. ly explored by using the Dynamics of Collective Action (DCA) protest event data and the American National Election Studies (ANES) survey data. The empirical results show that large and salient protest events increase voters’ political interest and then the likelihood of turnout for voting.
Do protests encourage electoral participation of voters? There are scholarly discussions on the relationship between protesting and voting, as they are typical examples of non-institutional and institutional forms of political participation in democracy, respectively. Theoretical exploration and empirical research on this subject matter have yet to be developed because the studies of social movements and electoral politics are two different sub-fields separately developed in comparative politics while rarely communicating with each other. Conforming to a recent call for bridging these two sub-fields, this article attempts to specify the mechanism by which protests affect voter turnout. We particularly emphasize political interest and efficacy of ordinary citizens, since they can be influenced by large scale protest events and, in turn, influence the turnout of voters. This theoretical speculation is empirically explored by using the Dynamics of Collective Action (DCA) protest event data and the American National Election Studies (ANES) survey data. The empirical results show that large and salient protest events increase voters’ political interest and then the likelihood of turnout for voting.
시위는 유권자들의 선거참여를 독려하나? 시위와 선거참여는 제도적ㆍ비제도적 정치참여 방식의 대표적 유형이다. 하지만 시위와 선거에 대한 연구는 비교정치에서 독자적으로 발전되어오며 이 둘의 관계에 대한 이론적 논리와 경험적 연구가 아직 체계적으로 발전되지 못한 상태이다. 시위와 선거 연구의 학술적 소통을 증진시키는 노력의 일환으로서 본 논문은 시위가 투표율에 미치는 영향을 규명하고자 한다. 특히 본 논문은 시민들의 정치관심과 정치효능감이 대규모 시위에 의해 영향을 받으며 시민들을 보다 적극적으로 투표에 참여하게 한다는 점을 이론화하였다. 이를 검증하기 위해 미국에서 수집한 시위 자료와 설문조사 자료를 결합해 분석한 결과, 규모가 큰 시위는 유권자의 정치적 관심을 향상시켜 투표에 보다 적극적으로 참여하게 했다는 것이 통계적으로 유의미함을 확인할 수 있었다.
