초록 열기/닫기 버튼
For the past four decades (1961-2000), the Malaysian economy grew at an impressive average rate of 6.8 per cent per annum. The rapid growth has been attributed, in part, to the tremendous success in the export-oriented industrialization policy. Several empirical studies on export-led growth for Malaysia have, however, led to inconclusive and mixed results. This may be due to the exclusion of domestic demand in the bivariate or multivariate models used in the studies. This study re-examines the role of domestic demand in economic growth in Malaysia. Using a three-variable cointegration analysis, the study shows that there exists short run bilateral causalities among the three variables which imply that both the export-led growth and domestic demand-generated growth hypotheses are at least valid in the short run. On the other hand, the results are not supportive of the export-led growth hypothesis in the long run. Instead, the highly significant positive impact of domestic expenditure on economic growth implies that use of domestic demand as the catalyst for growth is appropriate. [F43]
키워드열기/닫기 버튼
domestic demand, economic growth, cointegration1. INTRODUCTIONSince Malaysia achieved its Independence in 1957, the structure of its economy has undergone a remarkable transformation from an agro-based economy exporting primary commodities to one ba
