초록 열기/닫기 버튼
The purpose of this study has three folds. Firstly, it is to identify the determinants of international tourism demand to Korea from Japan. Secondly, it is to construct an international tourism demand model. Finally, it is to improve the efficiency of planning and implementing international tourism policy in Korea. Tourist arrivals were used as a dependent variable, while income, real exchange rates, industrial production index and dummies were used as independent variables. Unit root test was carried out to avoid spurious regression before using OLS regression method. The reason is that OLS method assumes that time series data are stationary. If time series data are non-stationary, the coefficients estimated by OLS regression will be unreliable. Therefore, OLS method was used after making time series data stationary. The results showed that industrial production variable was statistically significant. The elasticity was 2.87, which had the most influence in tourism demand from Japan to Korea. In the case of dummy variables, only two variables, political conflicts in 1974 and social unrest in 1980 were significant. Real GDP per capita as a proxy of income and real exchange rate were turned out to be insignificant.
