초록 열기/닫기 버튼
교통사고와 관련한 부상이나 사망을 줄이기 위해 한국은 1990년 이후 운전자와 조수석 동승자의 안전띠 착용을 의무화 하고 있고 안전띠의 착용 범위를 점점 넓히고 있다. 본 논문에서는 현실에 존재하는 자료를 이용하여 한국에서 안전띠 착용이 교통사고 사망률을 감소시키고 있는지를 추정하고자 한다. 안전띠 착용률이 내생성을 가지고 있으므로 이를 통제하기 위해 고정효과(Fixed effect) 모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 이렇게 고정효과모형을 사용하여 시간에 따라 변화하지 않는 지역별 요인, 특정 월별 요인, 연도별 요인들을 제거하고 추정한 결과, 안전띠 착용이 10% 증가하면 10억 km 당 사망자수는 8.7% 감소하는 것으로 분석되었다.
Korea experienced 591 auto accidents per day in 2008. As a result of auto accidents in 2008 16.1 people are dying every day and 929 people are injured. Controlled experiments in the lab showed wearing seat belt would reduce injury and even save lives. However, it is interesting to examine whether these lab results will be the same in the real world. It is the first study in Korea examining seat belt use rate and auto accident fatality using representative data. We use monthly auto accident fatality by 14 provinces and calculate fatality per driving 1,000 million kilometers as a dependent variable. Monthly seat belt use rates for the people involved in the auto accident comes from auto accident reports to the road traffic authority by 14 provinces. We use fixed effect econometric model to control time invariant endogeneity of the seat belt use rate. Region(province) fixed effects, Month fixed effect and year fixed effects were considered. The biggest change showed in year fixed effect. After controlling endogeneity of these sources we found 10% increase of seat belt use would decrease casualty per 1,000 million kilometers by 8.7%. However, we could not control individual level endogenity in this paper due to limited data availability.
키워드열기/닫기 버튼
sea belts,death, fixed effect.
