초록 열기/닫기 버튼
Stability on the Korean Peninsula had long been a common interest of both China and the United States before 1994, but with North Korea’s development of nuclear weapons, the United States is no longer content with the conventional form of stability on the Korean Peninsula. As for China, its perception of stability has not considerably changed so far, even though North Korea is suspected of having a nuclear program. In addition to these shared and differing interests in general, the two countries have nine other respective specific interests. The paper makes a comparison of the nine interests and experiments with a different reflection of those interests in the three simulated scenarios. In the first scenario (peaceful solution package), they would share many common interests, enjoying the peace dividend. However, Beijing and Washington might compete to obtain a leading role and more commercial interests in the process. In the second one (a partial settlement freezing Korea’s nuclear program), their close cooperation will continue, sharing many interests and duties in controlling the uncertain situation on the Peninsula. Yet, some American politicians will accuse China of not playing a greater role, which will lead to a negative impact on other aspects of Sino-American relations.
Stability on the Korean Peninsula had long been a common interest of both China and the United States before 1994, but with North Korea’s development of nuclear weapons, the United States is no longer content with the conventional form of stability on the Korean Peninsula. As for China, its perception of stability has not considerably changed so far, even though North Korea is suspected of having a nuclear program. In addition to these shared and differing interests in general, the two countries have nine other respective specific interests. The paper makes a comparison of the nine interests and experiments with a different reflection of those interests in the three simulated scenarios. In the first scenario (peaceful solution package), they would share many common interests, enjoying the peace dividend. However, Beijing and Washington might compete to obtain a leading role and more commercial interests in the process. In the second one (a partial settlement freezing Korea’s nuclear program), their close cooperation will continue, sharing many interests and duties in controlling the uncertain situation on the Peninsula. Yet, some American politicians will accuse China of not playing a greater role, which will lead to a negative impact on other aspects of Sino-American relations.
